Last updated
Kurskode
ModelFore4Gov
Varighet
14 timer (vanligvis 2 dag inkludert pauser)
Oversikt
Målet med kurset er å gjøre det mulig for deltakerne å få en mestring av det grunnleggende om modellering og prognoser for myndighetene.
Machine Translated
Kursplan
- Modelling in government
- Hypothesis testing
- Why test a hypothesis?
- Type I and type II errors
- Estimating the tax gap
- Case studies using econometric & regression models in government
- Forecasting and time series models in government
- Shocks, trends and seasonality
- Forecasting tax receipts using regression and econometric modelling
- Sensitivity analysis and validation
- Prediction validation techniques.
- Hold out samples
- Prediction intervals
- Comparative analysis of forecasts
- Forecast Performance Measures
